Fabrinet (FN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$451.44
27.17 (6.40%)
â˛
5d:
+13.32%
30d:
+12.28%
90d:
-9.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$843.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$523.58
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $451.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $391.67 to $423.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $452.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FN scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.11 (+62.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $452.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FN scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.11 (+62.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$391.67 -
$423.27
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.6% below Wall St target ($734.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$391.67 -
$423.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$384.02
Resistance Level
$452.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.06
Wall Street Target
$734.11
(+62.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.1%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 32.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$418.48
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$387.94
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$359.62
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â33)
$451.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$890.09
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 25.4%)
$696.67
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 25.4%)
$592.17
(+31%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.07
Bull Case
$618.47
(+37%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$562.25
(+25%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$288.50
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 32.7
Stabilization Target:
$566.38
(+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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