Is FN stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FN is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of FN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FN to be between $403.72 and $534.98. The current price is $414.58.

What is the analyst price target for FN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FN is $734.11. This implies a potential upside of 77.1% from current levels.

Fabrinet (FN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FN - Fabrinet

TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS

$414.58

10.63 (2.63%) ▲

5d: +4.96%

30d: -27.51%

90d: -28.8%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your FN Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 02, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $407.40 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$843.23

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$523.58

20.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $414.58, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $403.72 to $534.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (33.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $380.39, while resistance sits at $428.50.

Market Sentiment: FN scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.11 (+77.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $403.72 - $534.98

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 5th percentile (LOW)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 77.1% below Wall St target ($734.11)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $403.72 - $534.98

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$33.82 (8.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $380.39

Resistance Level $428.50

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.94

Wall Street Target $734.11 (+77.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 58.1%

Profit Margin 10.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 23.9 vs 33.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $373.12 (-10%)

2-Year Target $335.81 (-19%)

3-Year Target $302.23 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→33) $421.73 (+2%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 23.9, Growth: 25.4%) $817.42 (+97%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 25.4%) $688.81 (+66%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 25.4%) $585.49 (+41%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 32.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.60

Bull Case $610.82 (+47%)

Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 35.3

Base Case $555.29 (+34%)

Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 32.1

Bear Case $274.69 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 33.4

Stabilization Target: $578.50 (+39.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +39.5%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Net

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Recent Transactions

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-27

Josh Gottheimer BUY 2026-03-24

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