Fabrinet (FN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$356.06
0.58 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
-9.39%
30d:
-11.82%
90d:
-31.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$843.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$523.58
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $356.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $373.28 to $457.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (32.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $345.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $715.56 (+101.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $345.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $715.56 (+101.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$373.28 -
$457.42
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
63th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 63th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 101.0% below Wall St target ($715.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$373.28 -
$457.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$41.50
(11.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$345.71
Resistance Level
$515.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.56
Wall Street Target
$715.56
(+101.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.1%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 32.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$320.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$288.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$259.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→32)
$406.58
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 25.4%)
$702.04
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.4%)
$678.23
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.4%)
$576.49
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.05
Bull Case
$518.99
(+46%)
Analyst growth 32.7%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$471.81
(+33%)
Market implied 32.7%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$241.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 32.2
Stabilization Target:
$557.72
(+56.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FN price and gamma walls.
