FN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$435.41
-3.92 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-8.53%
30d:
-20.43%
90d:
-36.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$843.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$523.58
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $435.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $466.82 to $551.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.1) compared to its historical average (34.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $403.62, while resistance sits at $534.12.
Market Sentiment: FN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $732.44 (+68.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $403.62, while resistance sits at $534.12.
Market Sentiment: FN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $732.44 (+68.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$466.82 -
$551.17
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.2% below Wall St target ($732.44)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$466.82 -
$551.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$403.62
Resistance Level
$534.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.14
Wall Street Target
$732.44
(+68.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 34.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$391.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$352.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$317.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→35)
$435.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$858.49
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 25.4%)
$707.94
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 25.4%)
$601.75
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.35
Bull Case
$677.76
(+56%)
Analyst growth 40.2%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$616.15
(+42%)
Market implied 40.2%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$298.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 34.5
Stabilization Target:
$597.56
(+37.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-27
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-24
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