What is the fair value of FSLY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FSLY to be between $20.34 and $26.99. The current price is $22.94.

What is the analyst price target for FSLY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FSLY is $27.00. This implies a potential upside of 17.7% from current levels.

FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FSLY - Fastly, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$22.94

-2.01 (-8.06%) ▼

5d: -21.01%

30d: +13.34%

90d: +40.56%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 20, 2026 at $22.71 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 5.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSLY is down 21.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 11.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$20.97

Based on 7.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.02

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $22.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.34 to $26.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.3) compared to its historical average (61.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: FSLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $20.34 - $26.99

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 42.9%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.1%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.00)
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.34 - $26.99

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.30

Resistance Level $30.69

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Aug 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.29

Wall Street Target $27.00 (+17.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.3%

Profit Margin -11.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -13.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 39.3 vs 61.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -13.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $20.65 (-10%)

2-Year Target $18.58 (-19%)

3-Year Target $16.72 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→61) $26.09 (+14%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 39.3, Growth: 11.1%) $31.49 (+37%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.1%) $16.07 (-30%)

Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 11.1%) $13.66 (-41%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.3 to 61.3

Stabilization Target: $35.79 (+56.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +56.0%

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Charles Lacey Compton III SELL 7059 shares 2026-04-17

Charles Lacey Compton III SELL 22474 shares 2026-04-16

Scott R Lovett SELL 41682 shares 2026-03-18

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Advanced FSLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.

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