FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLY - Fastly, Inc.
$17.97
0.59 (3.37%)
▲
5d:
-3.67%
30d:
+7.51%
90d:
-33.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSLY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSLY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.80
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $17.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.90 to $19.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.1) compared to its historical average (65.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.90 -
$19.41
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($24.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.90 -
$19.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.60
Resistance Level
$22.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.06
Wall Street Target
$24.11
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.1 vs 65.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.64
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→65)
$18.81
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.1, Growth: 21.4%)
$31.11
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$15.38
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.4%)
$13.07
(-25%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.1 to 65.4
Stabilization Target:
$25.80
(+48.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
7059 shares
2026-04-17
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
22474 shares
2026-04-16
Scott R Lovett
SELL
41682 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced FSLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.
