FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$152.37
0.83 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-5.72%
30d:
+4.88%
90d:
+84.11%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTNT trades at premium valuation expecting 12.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FTNT trades at premium valuation expecting 12.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.30
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $152.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $148.57 to $161.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.4) compared to its historical average (31.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $150.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $127.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $150.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $127.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$148.57 -
$161.45
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FTNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 16.4% above Wall St target ($127.38)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.3% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$148.57 -
$161.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.92
Resistance Level
$170.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.43
Wall Street Target
$127.38
(-16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.3% premium
PE vs Historical
44.4 vs 31.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.11
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$192.16
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$215.79
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$194.90
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 8.6%)
$91.29
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 8.6%)
$77.60
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (60x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (44x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 60.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$226.86
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.1%, PE expands to 66.2
Base Case
$206.23
(+35%)
Market implied 36.1%, PE stable at 60.1
Bear Case
$103.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 51.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 27, 2026 6:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.
