FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$148.00
2.61 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
+14.32%
90d:
+78.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.91
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $148.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.18 to $147.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.2) compared to its historical average (29.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $149.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $113.78. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $149.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $113.78. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$131.18 -
$147.83
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 23.1% above Wall St target ($113.78)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.18 -
$147.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.05
Resistance Level
$149.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.20
Wall Street Target
$113.78
(-23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.2% premium
PE vs Historical
43.2 vs 29.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.02
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$193.02
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$220.42
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$189.17
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$95.37
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$81.07
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$213.19
(+44%)
Analyst growth 33.3%, PE expands to 62.2
Base Case
$193.81
(+31%)
Market implied 33.3%, PE stable at 56.6
Bear Case
$98.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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