CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
Services-Prepackaged Software
Best Software Stocks 2026 →
CHKP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$147.82
+1.23 (+0.84%)
â˛
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
+10.24%
90d:
+12.22%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect CHKP Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$134.93 â $152.25
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.3x
FAIR
vs 13.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$153.05
+4.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$138.41 / $155.10
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CHKP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $144.78 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
Get Alerted When CHKP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.42
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHKP is currently trading at $147.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.93 to $152.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHKP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $138.41, while resistance sits at $155.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHKP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $138.41, while resistance sits at $155.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$134.93 -
$152.25
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$134.93 -
$152.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$8.46
(5.7%)
Support Level
$138.41
Resistance Level
$155.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHKP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($153.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.27
Wall Street Target
$153.05
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.4%
Profit Margin
31.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.87
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$147.17
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$147.46
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$146.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$270.53
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$180.75
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$153.64
(+5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.35
Bull Case
$210.38
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.3%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$191.26
(+31%)
Market implied 32.3%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$98.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share CHKP Analysis
Share this live CHKP analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CHKP)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Check Point Software reported Q3 earnings of $1.82 per share, in line with estimates, but missed on revenue with $669.8 million. The stock received bearish sentiment on StockTwits due to the earnings miss.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
revenue miss
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CHKP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 55 HOLD |
|
TWLO
Twilio Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$268 | 58 HOLD |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
53 analysts |
$250 | 56 HOLD |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies InâĻ |
BUY
33 analysts |
$222 | 63 BUY |
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$98 | 40 HOLD |
Advanced CHKP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHKP price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive CHKP Research Pages
