Is CHKP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CHKP is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHKP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CHKP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CHKP to be between $130.28 and $140.54. The current price is $151.98.

What is the analyst price target for CHKP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CHKP is $146.47. This implies a potential upside of -3.6% from current levels.

CHKP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CHKP - Check Point Software Technologies Ltd

Services-Prepackaged Software

$151.98

8.55 (5.96%) ▲

5d: +10.05%

30d: +7.67%

90d: +16.4%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CHKP Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 9d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $133.44 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

Get Alerted When CHKP Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHKP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$199.60

Based on 6.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$123.94

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHKP is currently trading at $151.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.28 to $140.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHKP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: CHKP scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $130.28 - $140.54

Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

Protect Your Profits

CHKP is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.1% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.47)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $130.28 - $140.54

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $133.06

Resistance Level $152.25

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.48

Wall Street Target $146.47 (-3.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.6%

Profit Margin 37.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium

PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 13.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $153.20 (+1%)

2-Year Target $154.42 (+2%)

3-Year Target $155.66 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $152.48 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%) $282.65 (+86%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 8.1%) $191.79 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.1%) $163.02 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 14.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.77

Bull Case $182.13 (+20%)

Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 16.2

Base Case $165.57 (+9%)

Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 14.7

Bear Case $97.53 (-36%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is CHKP showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CHKP.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd	STRONG BUY 38 analysts	$475	55 HOLD
XYZ Block, Inc	STRONG BUY 47 analysts	$98	61 BUY
TWLO Twilio Inc	STRONG BUY 31 analysts	$271	52 HOLD
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings Inc	STRONG BUY 53 analysts	$246	54 HOLD
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. Common S…	STRONG BUY 27 analysts	$22	64 BUY

CYBR CyberArk Software…

CRWD Crowdstrike Holdi…

54 HOLD

SAIL SailPoint, Inc. C…

64 BUY

Advanced CHKP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHKP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CHKP

CHKP Technical Chart CHKP Price Prediction CHKP Earnings Date CHKP Investment Advisor CHKP Fair Price Analyzer CHKP Options Advisor CHKP Options Chain CHKP Options Analysis CHKP Competitors

Compare CHKP with Peers

CHKP vs VRSN
Which one to buy?

CHKP vs NTAP
Which one to buy?

CHKP vs FTNT
Which one to buy?

CHKP vs AKAM
Which one to buy?

CHKP vs FFIV
Which one to buy?

CHKP vs MSFT
Winner: MSFT

DOX vs CHKP

FFIV vs CHKP
Winner: CHKP

MDB vs CHKP

TOST vs CHKP

CHKP vs MTLS

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie