What is the fair value of FTNT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FTNT to be between $154.21 and $165.13. The current price is $156.07.

What is the analyst price target for FTNT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FTNT is $163.12. This implies a potential upside of 4.5% from current levels.

Fortinet (FTNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

$156.07

-2.78 (-1.75%) ▼

5d: -0.19%

30d: -2.97%

90d: +7.59%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $152.51 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: FTNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$130.82

Based on 6.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$81.23

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $156.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.21 to $165.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 41.3) compared to its historical average (33.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $151.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $154.21 - $165.13

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($163.12)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.4% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $154.21 - $165.13

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $151.80

Resistance Level $173.00

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.31

Wall Street Target $163.13 (+4.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.9%

Profit Margin 28.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.4% premium

PE vs Historical 41.3 vs 33.4 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $167.62 (+7%)

2-Year Target $180.02 (+15%)

3-Year Target $193.34 (+24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→33) PE COMPRESSION $156.31 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 41.3, Growth: 9.5%) $204.90 (+31%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.5%) $100.04 (-36%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.5%) $85.03 (-46%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 40.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.85

Bull Case $188.45 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.5

Base Case $156.07 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.5

Bear Case $119.39 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM

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Advanced FTNT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.

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