FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$160.62
3.11 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
-1.07%
30d:
+15.65%
90d:
+109.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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1 traders called FTNT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.91
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $160.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.57 to $157.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.9) compared to its historical average (30.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $165.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $114.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $165.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $114.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$143.57 -
$157.60
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FTNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 28.5% above Wall St target ($114.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$143.57 -
$157.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.73
Resistance Level
$165.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.88
Wall Street Target
$114.86
(-28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.5% premium
PE vs Historical
46.9 vs 30.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.52
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$214.27
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$247.48
(+54%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$160.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$205.30
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$95.37
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$81.07
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (61x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 61.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$230.07
(+43%)
Analyst growth 32.8%, PE expands to 67.2
Base Case
$209.15
(+30%)
Market implied 32.8%, PE stable at 61.1
Bear Case
$107.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 51.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.
