Is FTNT stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FTNT is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of FTNT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FTNT to be between $153.68 and $163.81. The current price is $153.51.

What is the analyst price target for FTNT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FTNT is $160.86. This implies a potential upside of 4.8% from current levels.

FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

$153.51

2.72 (1.80%) ▲

5d: -4.06%

30d: +1.3%

90d: +18.58%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $163.31 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$128.69

Based on 6.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$79.90

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $153.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.68 to $163.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.8) compared to its historical average (32.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.25, while resistance sits at $167.19.

Market Sentiment: FTNT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $153.68 - $163.81

Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($160.86)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.7% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $153.68 - $163.81

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $148.25

Resistance Level $167.19

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.83

Wall Street Target $160.86 (+4.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.9%

Profit Margin 28.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.7% premium

PE vs Historical 40.8 vs 32.7 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $165.33 (+8%)

2-Year Target $178.06 (+16%)

3-Year Target $191.77 (+25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→33) PE COMPRESSION $153.58 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 40.8, Growth: 9.0%) $198.55 (+29%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.0%) $97.60 (-36%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.0%) $82.96 (-46%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 54.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79

Bull Case $223.51 (+46%)

Analyst growth 34.8%, PE expands to 59.5

Base Case $203.19 (+32%)

Market implied 34.8%, PE stable at 54.1

Bear Case $102.54 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-13

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Advanced FTNT Option Strategies

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