GBX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBX - The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
$46.86
-0.15 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-4.7%
90d:
-17.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GBX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GBX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.06
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBX is currently trading at $46.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.42 to $49.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.42 -
$49.84
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -22.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.42 -
$49.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.61
Resistance Level
$49.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$44.67
(-4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.05
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$47.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$47.42
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$191.73
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 29.1%)
$100.83
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 29.1%)
$85.71
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.69
Bull Case
$46.09
(-4%)
Analyst growth -13.3%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$41.90
(-13%)
Market implied -13.3%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$32.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Krueger
SELL
6000 shares
2026-01-30
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