GBX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBX - The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
$47.34
-0.83 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
-0.11%
90d:
-10.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.23
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBX is currently trading at $47.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.99 to $49.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.61, while resistance sits at $49.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.61, while resistance sits at $49.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$46.99 -
$49.55
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -31.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.99 -
$49.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.61
Resistance Level
$49.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.14
Wall Street Target
$45.33
(-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-31.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.7%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.19
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$49.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$49.94
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.6%)
$180.54
(+281%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 28.6%)
$100.62
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 28.6%)
$85.53
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$60.03
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$54.58
(+15%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$32.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Krueger
SELL
6000 shares
2026-01-30
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