GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$15.19
-0.36 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-10.17%
90d:
-17.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When GEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GEL trades at premium valuation expecting 37.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GEL trades at premium valuation expecting 37.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $15.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.49 to $16.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 50.6) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 37.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.49 -
$16.85
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 37.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.49 -
$16.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.92
Resistance Level
$16.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.63
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+37.7% premium
PE vs Historical
50.6 vs 19.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+37.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.92
(+38%)
2-Year Target
$28.80
(+90%)
3-Year Target
$39.66
(+161%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.6, Growth: 400.0%)
$51.27
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 400.0%)
$22.18
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 400.0%)
$18.86
(+24%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$303 | 56 HOLD |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$274 | 56 HOLD |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$23 | 59 HOLD |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$58 | 56 HOLD |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$63 | 54 HOLD |
