GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$75.26
-2.05 (-2.65%)
▼
5d:
-11.04%
30d:
+1.54%
90d:
+61.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GFS is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GFS is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $75.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.82 to $82.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.48, while resistance sits at $88.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.48, while resistance sits at $88.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.82 -
$82.65
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.6% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.82 -
$82.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.49
Resistance Level
$88.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.96
Wall Street Target
$78.95
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.5%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
30.0 vs 22.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.48
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$90.40
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$99.08
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.0, Growth: 31.4%)
$170.57
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$124.81
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 31.4%)
$106.09
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$144.24
(+87%)
Analyst growth 69.8%, PE expands to 57.4
Base Case
$131.13
(+70%)
Market implied 69.8%, PE stable at 52.2
Bear Case
$52.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 10, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Glenda Dorchak
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-20
Michael James Hogan
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-20
Samak L Azar
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500 shares
2026-04-16
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