GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$48.05
0.72 (1.52%)
▲
5d:
-11.96%
30d:
-15.57%
90d:
-40.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $53.44 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GFS is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GFS is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.64
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $48.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.81 to $58.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.76 (+59.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.76 (+59.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.81 -
$58.07
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.8% below Wall St target ($76.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.81 -
$58.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.96
Resistance Level
$55.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.29
Wall Street Target
$76.76
(+59.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.21
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$40.67
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$37.42
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$48.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$127.69
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 34.3%)
$116.38
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 34.3%)
$98.92
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$104.13
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.7
Base Case
$94.66
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case
$32.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$61.73
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Glenda Dorchak
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-20
Michael James Hogan
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-20
Samak L Azar
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-16
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