Is GFS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, GFS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of GFS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GFS to be between $45.23 and $49.12. The current price is $44.39.

What is the analyst price target for GFS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GFS is $74.68. This implies a potential upside of 68.2% from current levels.

GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares

Semiconductors & Related Devices

$44.39

1.02 (2.35%) ▲

5d: -4.91%

30d: -5.65%

90d: -16.53%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your GFS Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 10d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $48.68 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$114.66

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$71.20

37.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $44.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.23 to $49.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.80, while resistance sits at $49.80.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.68 (+68.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $45.23 - $49.12

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 68.2% below Wall St target ($74.68)
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.23 - $49.12

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.80

Resistance Level $49.80

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.89

Wall Street Target $74.68 (+68.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -26.8%

Profit Margin 10.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -8.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 22.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -8.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $40.44 (-9%)

2-Year Target $36.84 (-17%)

3-Year Target $33.56 (-24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→22) $44.52 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.4%) $126.81 (+186%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 34.4%) $107.83 (+143%)

Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: 34.4%) $91.66 (+107%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 33.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28

Bull Case $95.41 (+115%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.3

Base Case $86.74 (+95%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.9

Bear Case $29.49 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 22.4

Stabilization Target: $58.88 (+32.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +32.6%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM

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GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares

Semiconductors & Related Devices

About

GlobalFoundries is a top-five contract semiconductor manufacturer globally. It was originally the manufacturing arm of Advanced Micro Devices before it was spun out in 2009. The foundry sells chips into a range of end markets including smartphones, PCs, Internet of Things, data centers, automotive, industrial, and so on, but primarily focuses on more mature process technologies. Until 2021, the firm was privately held by Mubadala Investment, the sovereign wealth fund of the United Arab Emirates, which remains its controlling shareholder today. GlobalFoundries merged with Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing in 2009 and acquired IBM's chipmaking business in 2015. GF is headquartered in Malta, New York, and employs about 13,000 people.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $19,152,071,642

Employees: 13,000

Listed Since: 2021-10-28

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001709048

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