GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
Semiconductors & Related Devices
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GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$42.62
-0.23 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+17.22%
30d:
-12.91%
90d:
-21.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$41.50 – $48.37
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.4x
CHEAP
vs 22.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$64.77
+52.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.84 / $44.07
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 10, 2026 at $41.04 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.15
38.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $42.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.50 to $48.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.84, while resistance sits at $44.06.
Market Sentiment: GFS scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.77 (+52.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.84, while resistance sits at $44.06.
Market Sentiment: GFS scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.77 (+52.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$41.50 -
$48.37
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$41.50 -
$48.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$35.84
Resistance Level
$44.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($64.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$64.77
(+52.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.66
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$35.06
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$31.80
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$42.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.8%)
$115.44
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 30.8%)
$95.30
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 30.8%)
$81.00
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.68
Bull Case
$51.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$42.62
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$32.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$57.19
(+34.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.2%
Share GFS Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GFS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about the undervaluation of $GFS and anticipates a breakout.
Key Retail Themes:
undervaluation
anticipated breakout
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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