GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$85.99
1.39 (1.64%)
▲
5d:
+6.02%
30d:
+26.92%
90d:
+80.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFS trades at premium valuation expecting 15.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GFS trades at premium valuation expecting 15.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $85.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.81 to $81.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.2) compared to its historical average (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.23, while resistance sits at $92.55.
Market Sentiment: GFS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.23, while resistance sits at $92.55.
Market Sentiment: GFS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.81 -
$81.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($78.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.1% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.81 -
$81.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.23
Resistance Level
$92.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.23
Wall Street Target
$78.95
(-8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.5%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.1% premium
PE vs Historical
34.2 vs 22.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.97
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$113.92
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$131.12
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.2, Growth: 31.4%)
$194.89
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$124.75
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 31.4%)
$106.04
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$141.20
(+75%)
Analyst growth 58.0%, PE expands to 56.2
Base Case
$128.36
(+59%)
Market implied 58.0%, PE stable at 51.1
Bear Case
$55.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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500 shares
2026-04-20
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