GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$46.95
0.99 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
+5.43%
30d:
-11.71%
90d:
-41.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $45.21 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.75
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $46.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.99 to $51.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFS scores 96/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+61.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFS scores 96/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+61.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.99 -
$51.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (96/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.9% below Wall St target ($76.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 96/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.99 -
$51.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.70
Resistance Level
$47.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.95
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+61.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 23.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.19
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.74
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$36.56
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$46.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.9%)
$126.81
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 33.9%)
$112.83
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 33.9%)
$95.91
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$101.11
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$91.92
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$31.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$60.17
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Glenda Dorchak
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-20
Michael James Hogan
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-20
Samak L Azar
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-16
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