GPRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRE - Green Plains, Inc.
$15.06
0.24 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
-2.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPRE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 36.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPRE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 36.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.47
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.06
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRE is currently trading at $15.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.83 to $16.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (37.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.40, while resistance sits at $16.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.40, while resistance sits at $16.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.83 -
$16.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.83 -
$16.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.41
Resistance Level
$16.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$16.57
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.5%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 37.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.55
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→38)
$42.20
(+180%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -16.2%)
$24.25
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -16.2%)
$10.98
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -16.2%)
$9.33
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 37.9
Stabilization Target:
$57.89
(+284.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+284.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GPRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPRE price and gamma walls.
