Green Plains (GPRE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRE - Green Plains, Inc.
$14.90
-0.44 (-2.87%)
▼
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
-1.39%
90d:
-0.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When GPRE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.55
Based on -9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRE is currently trading at $14.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.72 to $16.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (29.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 31.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.43, while resistance sits at $16.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.86 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.43, while resistance sits at $16.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.86 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.72 -
$16.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.86)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.72 -
$16.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.43
Resistance Level
$16.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.54
Wall Street Target
$17.86
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.5%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-31.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 29.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-31.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→30)
$33.94
(+128%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -22.3%)
$22.97
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -22.3%)
$10.86
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -22.3%)
$9.23
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$16.08
(+8%)
Analyst growth -4.7%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$14.62
(-2%)
Market implied -4.7%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$10.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 29.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.56
(+212.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+212.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GPRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CE
Celanese Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$64 | 50 HOLD |
|
DOW
Dow Inc |
SELL
21 analysts |
$35 | 52 HOLD |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$70 | 37 SELL |
|
OLN
Olin Corporation |
SELL
16 analysts |
$22 | 60 HOLD |
|
TROX
Tronox Holdings PLC |
BUY
8 analysts |
$7 | 40 HOLD |
Advanced GPRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPRE price and gamma walls.
