GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$9.84
-0.08 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
+14.29%
90d:
+10.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GSBD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GSBD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.13
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $9.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.68 to $9.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBD scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBD scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.67
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($8.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with -8.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.50
Resistance Level
$9.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$8.94
(-9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$10.50
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$10.85
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -12.3%)
$16.68
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -12.3%)
$7.17
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -12.3%)
$6.10
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$21.82
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$19.84
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$6.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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