GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$26.84
1.51 (5.96%)
▲
5d:
+2.8%
30d:
+4.52%
90d:
+15.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.77
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $26.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.58 to $26.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.58 -
$26.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 0.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.58 -
$26.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.81
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.39
Wall Street Target
$31.08
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$27.65
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$28.07
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$61.03
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$40.06
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 14.3%)
$34.05
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$55.73
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case
$50.66
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$17.22
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 11, 2026 10:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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