GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$34.14
-0.10 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
+1.61%
90d:
+3.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.75
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $34.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.83 to $35.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$33.83 -
$35.50
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.83 -
$35.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.67
Resistance Level
$36.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.36
Wall Street Target
$35.71
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
42.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 20.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.60
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$31.14
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$29.74
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$34.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.3%)
$50.36
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 7.3%)
$42.18
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$35.85
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$44.88
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.2%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$40.80
(+20%)
Market implied 19.2%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$23.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$39.33
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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