GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GTY - Getty Realty Corp.

REAL ESTATE
$33.11
-0.26 (-0.78%) ▼
5d: -0.21%
30d: -4.61%
90d: -0.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.92
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.96
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $33.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.02 to $35.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: GTY scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $33.02 - $35.38
Company Quality Score 68/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.9% growth which is achievable
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.02 - $35.38
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.12
Resistance Level $33.59
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.80
Wall Street Target $36.43 (+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%
Profit Margin 42.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.9% premium
PE vs Historical 22.8 vs 19.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.73 (+5%)
2-Year Target $36.43 (+10%)
3-Year Target $38.22 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→20) PE COMPRESSION $33.19 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.8, Growth: -3.7%) $29.58 (+-11%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -3.7%) $26.04 (-21%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -3.7%) $22.13 (-33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case $31.92 (-4%)
Analyst growth -13.0%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case $29.02 (-12%)
Market implied -13.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case $22.69 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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