Getty Realty (GTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$28.45
0.98 (3.57%)
â˛
5d:
+0.53%
30d:
-1.59%
90d:
-18.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.87
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $28.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.57 to $29.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTY scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.57 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTY scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.57 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.57 -
$29.74
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($35.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.57 -
$29.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.29
Resistance Level
$28.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.50
Wall Street Target
$35.57
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.4%
Profit Margin
42.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.22
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.00
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$27.77
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â20)
$28.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.8%)
$26.59
(+-7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: -2.8%)
$26.11
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: -2.8%)
$22.19
(-22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$27.27
(-1%)
Analyst growth -11.6%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$24.79
(-10%)
Market implied -11.6%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$19.07
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$29.03
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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