GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$33.43
0.60 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+1.09%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
+3.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.78
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $33.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.52 to $33.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.52 -
$33.36
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.52 -
$33.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.79
Resistance Level
$33.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.70
Wall Street Target
$34.71
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
40.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.70
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$28.70
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$26.84
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$32.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$52.91
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 7.3%)
$40.56
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 7.3%)
$34.48
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$46.20
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$42.00
(+28%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$22.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$40.11
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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