Getty Realty (GTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.43
-0.26 (-0.91%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+1.79%
90d:
-14.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$27.77 â $28.52
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.5x
FAIR
vs 19.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$33.86
+19.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$27.66 / $29.20
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.87
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $28.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.77 to $28.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.86 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.86 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.77 -
$28.52
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$27.77 -
$28.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$27.66
Resistance Level
$29.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.49
Wall Street Target
$33.86
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
42.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.03
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$27.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â20)
$28.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.8%)
$26.59
(+-7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: -2.8%)
$26.09
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: -2.8%)
$22.18
(-22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$28.07
(-1%)
Analyst growth -11.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$25.52
(-10%)
Market implied -11.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$19.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$29.03
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GTY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages suggest a bullish outlook on $GTY with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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