EPRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$27.97
-0.10 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
+8.92%
90d:
-9.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$25.44 – $27.59
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.8x
FAIR
vs 22.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$33.34
+19.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$26.50 / $28.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.12
Based on -16.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPRT is currently trading at $27.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.44 to $27.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPRT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.34 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPRT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.34 (+19.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.44 -
$27.59
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$25.44 -
$27.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$26.50
Resistance Level
$28.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.34)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.80
Wall Street Target
$33.34
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.2%
Profit Margin
41.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$26.92
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$26.41
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$27.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: -37.0%)
$27.66
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -37.0%)
$26.42
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -37.0%)
$22.45
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$33.49
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.5%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$30.45
(+9%)
Market implied 8.5%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$19.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$29.59
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EPRT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $EPRT with one user expressing yield and the stock being 'boring but working'. No recent Yahoo Finance news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
User experience
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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