Kimco Realty (KIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KIM - Kimco Realty Corp.
$22.21
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
-7.92%
90d:
-12.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.02
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KIM is currently trading at $22.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.45 to $23.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.2) is in line with its historical norms (27.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KIM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.94 (+21.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KIM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.94 (+21.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.45 -
$23.86
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KIM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($26.94)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.45 -
$23.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.86
Resistance Level
$22.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.24
Wall Street Target
$26.94
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 27.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.16
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$20.65
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$22.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 4.4%)
$25.24
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.4%)
$20.40
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$17.34
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$25.00
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.3%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$22.73
(+2%)
Market implied 2.3%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$15.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.2 to 27.2
Stabilization Target:
$23.94
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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