Agree Realty (ADC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADC - Agree Realty Corporation
$67.07
2.58 (4.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.77%
30d:
-0.07%
90d:
-16.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.08
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $67.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.41 to $68.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.3) is in line with its historical norms (37.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADC scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.11 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADC scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.11 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.41 -
$68.26
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.41 -
$68.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.34
Resistance Level
$67.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.34
Wall Street Target
$79.11
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Profit Margin
29.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.3 vs 37.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.59
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$64.15
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$62.74
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→38)
$67.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.3, Growth: -1.0%)
$65.00
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.0%)
$36.53
(-46%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -1.0%)
$31.05
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$75.30
(+17%)
Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 39.7
Base Case
$68.45
(+6%)
Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$45.61
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.3 to 37.8
Stabilization Target:
$71.74
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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