ADC Agree Realty Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS Best REITs Stocks 2026 →

Agree Realty (ADC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$69.80
-0.08 (-0.11%) ▼
5d: -0.23% 30d: +6.71% 90d: -7.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$65.53 – $68.97
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.7x FAIR
vs 37.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$77.75
+11.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$66.38 / $70.91
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.69
Based on 3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $69.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.53 to $68.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.7) is in line with its historical norms (37.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.75 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $65.53 - $68.97
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $65.53 - $68.97
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $66.38
Resistance Level $70.91
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.68
Wall Street Target $77.75 (+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.8%
Profit Margin 29.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 35.7 vs 37.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.54 (-2%)
2-Year Target $67.31 (-4%)
3-Year Target $66.10 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→38) $69.84 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.7, Growth: 2.0%) $74.09 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.0%) $41.24 (-41%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 2.0%) $35.06 (-50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case $77.52 (+11%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case $70.47 (+1%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case $47.52 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.7 to 37.7
Stabilization Target: $73.76 (+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ADC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $ADC, with emphasis on its net leases to strong retailers, easy re-rentability, and minimal debt to cash flow.
Key Retail Themes: Net leases provide landlord-friendly terms Strong retail tenants reduce risk
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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