Agree Realty (ADC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADC - Agree Realty Corporation
$65.88
0.84 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
-9.3%
90d:
-14.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $65.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.55 to $73.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.6) compared to its historical average (38.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.33 (+28.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.33 (+28.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.55 -
$73.09
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($83.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.55 -
$73.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.98
Resistance Level
$68.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.64
Wall Street Target
$83.33
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
28.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.6 vs 38.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.43
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$59.93
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$57.53
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→38)
$64.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.6, Growth: 78.7%)
$66.58
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 78.7%)
$40.37
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 78.7%)
$34.32
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$77.21
(+19%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$70.19
(+8%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 36.3
Bear Case
$45.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.6 to 38.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.45
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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