ADC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADC - Agree Realty Corporation
$77.80
-0.61 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-3.51%
30d:
+1.99%
90d:
+0.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ADC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $77.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.09 to $80.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.3) is in line with its historical norms (38.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$76.09 -
$80.33
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($84.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.09 -
$80.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.17
Resistance Level
$81.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.29
Wall Street Target
$84.44
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Profit Margin
29.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
40.3 vs 38.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.20
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$80.63
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$82.08
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.3, Growth: 50.0%)
$78.97
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 50.0%)
$40.63
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 50.0%)
$34.54
(-56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$92.53
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case
$84.12
(+8%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 43.6
Bear Case
$53.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Rakolta Jr
BUY
146 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced ADC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADC price and gamma walls.
