HDSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HDSN - Hudson Technologies Inc

WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$5.63
0.06 (1.08%) ▲
5d: -0.71%
30d: -11.06%
90d: +8.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HDSN trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HDSN is currently trading at $5.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.74 to $6.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: HDSN scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.31 (+29.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $5.74 - $6.30
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 93.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($7.31)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with 7.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.74 - $6.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.50
Resistance Level $6.38
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.75
Wall Street Target $7.31 (+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.9%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.1% premium
PE vs Historical 19.8 vs 14.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.20 (+10%)
2-Year Target $6.82 (+21%)
3-Year Target $7.51 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→15) PE COMPRESSION $5.63 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 62.9%) $19.30 (+243%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 62.9%) $19.00 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.8, Growth: 62.9%) $14.24 (+153%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case $8.73 (+55%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case $7.94 (+41%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case $3.79 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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