Hudson Technologies (HDSN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDSN - Hudson Technologies Inc
$5.41
0.04 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+7.88%
30d:
+3.35%
90d:
-13.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDSN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDSN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDSN is currently trading at $5.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.10 to $5.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Implied Volatility is high (85th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.31 (+36.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Implied Volatility is high (85th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.31 (+36.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.10 -
$5.29
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
85th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HDSN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 85th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($7.31)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.7% growth with 7.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.10 -
$5.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.71
(13.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.95
Resistance Level
$5.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.81
Wall Street Target
$7.31
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 15.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.72
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$6.10
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$6.51
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 62.9%)
$19.10
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 62.9%)
$18.09
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 62.9%)
$14.91
(+178%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$8.48
(+58%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$7.71
(+44%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$3.68
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HDSN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HDSN price and gamma walls.
