HDSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDSN - Hudson Technologies Inc
$6.26
0.06 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
+11.99%
90d:
+1.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HDSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HDSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.61
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.59
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDSN is currently trading at $6.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.39 to $5.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HDSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HDSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.92
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($8.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.16
Resistance Level
$5.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.94
Wall Street Target
$8.50
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.26
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$6.32
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$6.39
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.3%)
$15.73
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 20.3%)
$10.79
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 20.3%)
$9.17
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$9.20
(+48%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$8.36
(+35%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$4.39
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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