Hudson Technologies (HDSN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HDSN - Hudson Technologies Inc

WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$5.41
0.06 (1.03%) ▲
5d: +2.95%
30d: -3.48%
90d: -3.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HDSN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HDSN is currently trading at $5.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.27 to $5.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $5.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HDSN scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.31 (+35.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $5.27 - $5.78
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($7.31)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.9% growth with 7.5% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.27 - $5.78
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.44 (8.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.10
Resistance Level $5.53
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.96
Wall Street Target $7.31 (+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.9%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.9% premium
PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 15.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.83 (+8%)
2-Year Target $6.29 (+16%)
3-Year Target $6.79 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→15) PE COMPRESSION $5.41 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 62.9%) $19.40 (+259%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 62.9%) $18.24 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 62.9%) $14.52 (+169%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case $7.99 (+48%)
Analyst growth 35.7%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case $7.26 (+34%)
Market implied 35.7%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case $3.64 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HDSN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HDSN price and gamma walls.

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