HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$37.20
-0.80 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-8.55%
90d:
-7.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HESM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HESM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.06
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $37.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.71 to $39.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.71 -
$39.84
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.71 -
$39.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.42
Resistance Level
$39.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.95
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.96
(0%)
2-Year Target
$37.92
(0%)
3-Year Target
$37.89
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$38.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$88.09
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$52.39
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$44.53
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$41.83
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$38.03
(+0%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$25.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$38.14
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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