HIMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIMX - Himax Technologies, Inc.

Semiconductors & Related Devices
$16.78
-1.77 (-9.52%) ▼
5d: -6.02%
30d: -15.66%
90d: +93.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIMX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.94
29.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIMX is currently trading at $16.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.36 to $21.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.08, while resistance sits at $20.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+41.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.36 - $21.78
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.3% below Wall St target ($23.70)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.36 - $21.78
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.08
Resistance Level $20.68
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.77
Wall Street Target $23.70 (+41.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -59.8%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 19.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.87 (-5%)
2-Year Target $15.01 (-11%)
3-Year Target $14.20 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→20) $16.76 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 150.0%) $73.51 (+338%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 150.0%) $56.62 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 150.0%) $48.12 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.70
Bull Case $20.26 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case $16.77 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case $12.83 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 19.8
Stabilization Target: $19.80 (+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HIMX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMX price and gamma walls.

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