HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$8.85
0.16 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
-9.14%
30d:
-13.49%
90d:
-7.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.15
32.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $8.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.20 to $10.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+41.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+41.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.20 -
$10.09
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.2% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.20 -
$10.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.19
Resistance Level
$9.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.87
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+41.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.26
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.70
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.19
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$8.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 83.8%)
$40.98
(+363%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 83.8%)
$29.87
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 83.8%)
$25.39
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (87x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 86.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$19.12
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 95.6
Base Case
$17.38
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 86.9
Bear Case
$5.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 73.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.87
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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