HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$10.35
-0.11 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
+6.7%
90d:
+3.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $10.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.25 to $10.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.25 -
$10.02
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 20.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.25 -
$10.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.66
Resistance Level
$10.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.08
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.36
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$10.37
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$10.38
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 93.7%)
$36.75
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 93.7%)
$34.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 93.7%)
$29.69
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$23.01
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case
$20.92
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.6
Bear Case
$7.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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