HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$47.90
0.76 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
+8.99%
90d:
+66.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.82
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $47.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.21 to $48.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.30, while resistance sits at $49.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.34 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.30, while resistance sits at $49.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.34 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.21 -
$48.43
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($64.34)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with 40.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.21 -
$48.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.30
Resistance Level
$49.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.95
Wall Street Target
$64.34
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 10.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.73
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$53.72
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$56.89
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$134.17
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 17.3%)
$77.37
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 17.3%)
$65.37
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$103.71
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.5
Base Case
$94.28
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.4
Bear Case
$32.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fidelma Russo
SELL
17001 shares
2026-04-21
Neil B Macdonald
SELL
24251 shares
2026-04-20
Antonio F Neri
SELL
150000 shares
2026-04-17
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