HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$48.92
0.52 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+44.01%
90d:
+119.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.42
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $48.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.11 to $51.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.74, while resistance sits at $50.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.74, while resistance sits at $50.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.11 -
$51.43
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($64.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with 40.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.11 -
$51.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.74
Resistance Level
$50.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$64.13
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.74
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$56.85
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$61.28
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$140.00
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 17.1%)
$78.64
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$62.99
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$108.13
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.5
Base Case
$98.30
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.9
Bear Case
$33.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fidelma Russo
SELL
17001 shares
2026-04-21
Neil B Macdonald
SELL
24251 shares
2026-04-20
Antonio F Neri
SELL
150000 shares
2026-04-17
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