Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$64.58
0.69 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
+1.67%
30d:
+26.95%
90d:
+56.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $64.58 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HPE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HPE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.94
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $64.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.30 to $62.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.65, while resistance sits at $67.10.
Market Sentiment: HPE scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.13 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.65, while resistance sits at $67.10.
Market Sentiment: HPE scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.13 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.30 -
$62.08
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.13)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.7% growth expectation is conservative given 410% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.30 -
$62.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.65
Resistance Level
$67.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.76
Wall Street Target
$71.13
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
410.2%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 10.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.20
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$76.31
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$82.94
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 22.6%)
$176.49
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 22.6%)
$119.08
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 22.6%)
$92.57
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$140.56
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$127.78
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$43.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
17001 shares
2026-04-21
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SELL
24251 shares
2026-04-20
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SELL
150000 shares
2026-04-17
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Advanced HPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPE price and gamma walls.
