HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$50.87
+2.94 (+6.13%) ▲
5d: +1.56% 30d: -26.07% 90d: -14.96%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$50.13 – $66.86
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x FAIR
vs 11.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.20
+50.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.38 / $60.81
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
HPE is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; HPE has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-11.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.50
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.16
16.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $50.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.13 to $66.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 410.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.38, while resistance sits at $60.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: HPE scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.20 (+50.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $50.13 - $66.86
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 95.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $50.13 - $66.86
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $43.38
Resistance Level $60.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 50.6% below Wall St target ($72.20)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.12
Wall Street Target $72.20 (+50.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 410.2%
Profit Margin 6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.1 vs 11.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.68 (-3%)
2-Year Target $45.47 (-5%)
3-Year Target $44.29 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $48.13 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.6%) $177.65 (+271%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 23.6%) $90.54 (+89%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 23.6%) $76.96 (+61%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case $104.59 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case $95.08 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case $32.33 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.0
Stabilization Target: $52.09 (+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HPE)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest Zacks.com article highlights four undervalued stocks, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), with strong earnings surprises, attractive valuations, and robust projected growth.
Key Retail Themes: undervalued stocks strong earnings potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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