HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$47.24
-1.30 (-2.68%)
▼
5d:
+9.48%
30d:
+3.85%
90d:
+89.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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5 traders called HPE this week
89% bullish • 1 bearish
89% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.07
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $47.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.34 to $49.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.72, while resistance sits at $51.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.72, while resistance sits at $51.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.34 -
$49.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($64.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with 40.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.34 -
$49.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.72
Resistance Level
$51.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.81
Wall Street Target
$64.13
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.07
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$53.08
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$56.26
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$140.00
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$75.94
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$63.63
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$106.79
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.9
Base Case
$97.08
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.4
Bear Case
$33.01
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
17001 shares
2026-04-21
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24251 shares
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150000 shares
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