Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HURN is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.13
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.34
38.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: HURN is currently trading at $92.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.93 to $110.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HURN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.25 (+103.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.93 -
$110.94
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
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Huron Consulting Group Inc is a professional services firm. The company provides expertise in technology, operations, advisory services, & analytics through three operating segments namely Healthcare, Education, and Commercial. Healthcare segment helps the firms to transform and innovate the delivery model to focus on patient wellness by improving quality outcomes, minimizing care variation and fundamentally improving patient and population health, Education segment provides management consulting and technology solutions, and Commercial segment is focused on serving industries and organizations facing disruption and regulatory change. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Healthcare Segment.