ICF International (ICFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$93.33
3.38 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
+5.14%
30d:
+11.53%
90d:
+17.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICFI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICFI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.60
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $93.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.19 to $88.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$83.19 -
$88.89
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($107.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.19 -
$88.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.89
Resistance Level
$93.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$107.25
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.62
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$102.11
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$106.81
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$195.41
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$119.11
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$101.24
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.83
Bull Case
$157.94
(+69%)
Analyst growth 59.6%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$143.58
(+54%)
Market implied 59.6%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$61.17
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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