ICF International (ICFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$82.77
-0.13 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-14.59%
30d:
-5.34%
90d:
-7.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (58%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$84.27 – $95.20
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.7x
FAIR
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$107.25
+29.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$78.26 / $100.63
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ICFI is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.65
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $82.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.27 to $95.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.26, while resistance sits at $100.63.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.26, while resistance sits at $100.63.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.27 -
$95.20
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$84.27 -
$95.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$78.26
Resistance Level
$100.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($107.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$107.25
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.5%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.02
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$83.27
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$83.52
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.24
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$195.41
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$105.63
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$89.79
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.30
Bull Case
$132.66
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.5%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$120.60
(+46%)
Market implied 45.5%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$56.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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