ICF International (ICFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$82.25
-2.72 (-3.20%)
▼
5d:
-1.57%
30d:
-6.87%
90d:
+9.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When ICFI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICFI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ICFI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.56
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $82.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.93 to $88.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.93 -
$88.95
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($107.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.93 -
$88.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.96
Resistance Level
$87.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$107.25
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.33
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$87.71
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$89.11
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$200.73
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$108.44
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$92.17
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.84
Bull Case
$145.67
(+71%)
Analyst growth 59.3%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$132.42
(+56%)
Market implied 59.3%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$56.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Consulting Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Consulting Services by analyst ratings.
