ICFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$79.13
2.30 (2.99%)
▲
5d:
+5.72%
30d:
+10.53%
90d:
+17.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.31
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $79.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.37 to $75.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICFI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICFI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.37 -
$75.82
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($105.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.37 -
$75.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.17
Resistance Level
$72.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$105.25
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
4.7%
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.13
(0%)
2-Year Target
$79.13
(0%)
3-Year Target
$79.13
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$218.84
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$103.52
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$88.00
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.56
Bull Case
$141.43
(+84%)
Analyst growth 68.4%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$128.57
(+67%)
Market implied 68.4%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$51.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Randall Mehl
BUY
1100 shares
2026-03-06
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