ICF International (ICFI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$85.95
0.20 (0.23%)
▲
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
+18.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICFI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICFI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.56
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $85.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.45 to $90.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.45 -
$90.64
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($107.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.45 -
$90.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.45
Resistance Level
$91.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.15
Wall Street Target
$107.25
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.75
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$89.60
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$91.48
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$198.46
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$109.69
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$93.24
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.82
Bull Case
$150.88
(+76%)
Analyst growth 60.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$137.16
(+60%)
Market implied 60.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$58.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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