Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$75.90
0.22 (0.29%)
â˛
5d:
+2.73%
30d:
-3.19%
90d:
-1.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BAH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BAH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.59
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $75.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.08 to $77.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.15 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.15 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$73.08 -
$77.30
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BAH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.08 -
$77.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.14
Resistance Level
$76.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.14
Wall Street Target
$85.15
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.22
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$74.54
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$73.87
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$76.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$137.33
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$82.66
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 2.9%)
$70.26
(-7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.67
Bull Case
$78.03
(+3%)
Analyst growth -6.3%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$70.94
(-7%)
Market implied -6.3%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$51.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$78.15
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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