BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$77.05
0.69 (0.90%)
â˛
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
+16.97%
90d:
+0.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BAH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BAH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.59
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $77.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.23 to $76.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BAH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.58 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BAH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.58 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$66.23 -
$76.67
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.23 -
$76.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.84
Resistance Level
$80.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.32
Wall Street Target
$85.58
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$76.28
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$75.90
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$76.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$136.65
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 2.9%)
$83.91
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$71.33
(-7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.17
Bull Case
$85.11
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$77.37
(+0%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$51.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$78.15
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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