BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$69.72
1.41 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-3.87%
30d:
+16.18%
90d:
-10.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.59
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $69.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.29 to $68.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.36, while resistance sits at $76.20.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.58 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.36, while resistance sits at $76.20.
Market Sentiment: BAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.58 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.29 -
$68.36
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($85.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.29 -
$68.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.36
Resistance Level
$76.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.15
Wall Street Target
$85.58
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.07
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$64.52
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$62.07
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$69.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 2.9%)
$141.14
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$75.93
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$64.54
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.20
Bull Case
$75.77
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$68.88
(-1%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$46.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$78.15
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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