Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$301.35
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$187.12
5.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $176.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.74 to $192.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRSK scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.76 (+33.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$181.74 -
$192.64
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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Verisk Analytics is a leading provider of data analytics and proprietary solutions supporting clients within the insurance ecosystem. Verisk operates under a single segment with two separate business units, underwriting and claims. Within underwriting, the company operates as both a statistical agent and advisory organization collecting and aggregating industrywide claims and policy data and providing insurers with pre-approved forms, rules, and loss costs. Aside from their regulatory and compliance offerings, Verisk provides specialized solutions utilized to power P&C underwriting and catastrophe risk assessment used in reinsurance and insurance-linked securities. Verisk's smaller claims business is critical in preventing fraud and estimating property insurance claims.