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Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.80
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $195.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.08 to $187.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $175.43, while resistance sits at $204.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: VRSK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $226.47 (+15.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$167.08 -
$187.79
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
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Holding VRSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
Verisk Analytics is a leading provider of data analytics and proprietary solutions supporting clients within the insurance ecosystem. Verisk operates under a single segment with two separate business units, underwriting and claims. Within underwriting, the company operates as both a statistical agent and advisory organization collecting and aggregating industrywide claims and policy data and providing insurers with pre-approved forms, rules, and loss costs. Aside from their regulatory and compliance offerings, Verisk provides specialized solutions utilized to power P&C underwriting and catastrophe risk assessment used in reinsurance and insurance-linked securities. Verisk's smaller claims business is critical in preventing fraud and estimating property insurance claims.