Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$163.88
-4.50 (-2.67%)
▼
5d:
-3.15%
30d:
-12.9%
90d:
-12.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$299.50
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$185.97
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $163.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $171.14 to $189.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $162.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.76 (+43.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $162.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.76 (+43.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$171.14 -
$189.07
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.3% below Wall St target ($234.76)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$171.14 -
$189.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.80
Resistance Level
$175.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.84
Wall Street Target
$234.76
(+43.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 23.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.39
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$143.57
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$134.39
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$164.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$255.09
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$235.59
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 12.9%)
$200.25
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.53
Bull Case
$246.72
(+51%)
Analyst growth 33.2%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$224.29
(+37%)
Market implied 33.2%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$114.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$200.06
(+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-15
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