Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
$176.20
0.34 (0.19%) ▲
5d: -7.56%
30d: -2.32%
90d: -3.19%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VRSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$301.35
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$187.12
5.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $176.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.74 to $192.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VRSK scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.76 (+33.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $181.74 - $192.64
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($234.76)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $181.74 - $192.64
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $171.79
Resistance Level $197.21
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.26
Wall Street Target $234.76 (+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.4%
Profit Margin 28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.3 vs 23.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $168.27 (-5%)
2-Year Target $160.70 (-9%)
3-Year Target $153.47 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→23) $175.72 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.3, Growth: 12.8%) $252.96 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%) $251.82 (+43%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.8%) $214.04 (+22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.44
Bull Case $261.22 (+48%)
Analyst growth 35.0%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case $237.47 (+35%)
Market implied 35.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $119.59 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 23.2
Stabilization Target: $201.75 (+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.5%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann SELL 400 shares 2026-04-15
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann SELL 400 shares 2026-03-17

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