IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$94.09
-1.19 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+3.02%
30d:
+8.99%
90d:
+30.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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1 traders called IBKR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.39
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $94.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.54 to $94.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.2) compared to its historical average (28.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$87.54 -
$94.69
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.66)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.54 -
$94.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.12
Resistance Level
$91.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.20
Wall Street Target
$91.66
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.2 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.42
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$102.95
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$107.68
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.2, Growth: 14.9%)
$142.72
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$96.54
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.9%)
$82.06
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$128.68
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$116.99
(+24%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$64.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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