IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$96.82
0.82 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
+6.62%
30d:
+15.55%
90d:
+47.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBKR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: IBKR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.61
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $96.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.28 to $91.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.6) compared to its historical average (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$83.28 -
$91.82
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.0%
Protect Your Profits
IBKR is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($88.27)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.28 -
$91.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.12
Resistance Level
$91.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.65
Wall Street Target
$88.27
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 27.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.31
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$110.23
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$117.61
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 14.5%)
$145.32
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$94.04
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.5%)
$79.94
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$130.39
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 45.3
Base Case
$118.53
(+22%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$65.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 22, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
