Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$91.37
1.95 (2.18%) ▲
5d: -1.7%
30d: -0.32%
90d: +2.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $90.39 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: IBKR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.98
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.57
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $91.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.65 to $94.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.7) is in line with its historical norms (28.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.53, while resistance sits at $97.89.

Market Sentiment: IBKR scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.74 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $88.65 - $94.71
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($105.74)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.65 - $94.71
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $88.53
Resistance Level $97.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.68
Wall Street Target $105.74 (+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.3%
Profit Margin 16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 28.7 vs 28.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $91.74 (+0%)
2-Year Target $92.10 (+1%)
3-Year Target $92.47 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→28) PE COMPRESSION $91.58 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: 17.8%) $149.29 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.8%) $105.00 (+15%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.8%) $89.25 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case $125.87 (+38%)
Analyst growth 28.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case $114.43 (+25%)
Market implied 28.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case $60.81 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling BUY 25 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced IBKR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.

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