IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$92.06
0.64 (0.70%)
â˛
5d:
+4.82%
30d:
-0.16%
90d:
+4.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $90.73 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IBKR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IBKR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.41
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $92.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.76 to $94.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (28.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBKR scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.13 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBKR scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.13 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$88.76 -
$94.45
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBKR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($106.13)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.76 -
$94.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.37
Resistance Level
$92.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.92
Wall Street Target
$106.13
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 28.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.70
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$93.35
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$94.01
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â28)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$148.64
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$103.99
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$88.39
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$127.55
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$115.95
(+26%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$62.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
