IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$86.79
-1.20 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-5.94%
30d:
-4.97%
90d:
+7.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.15
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $86.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.65 to $95.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (28.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.97 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.97 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.65 -
$95.16
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBKR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($106.97)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.65 -
$95.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.60
Resistance Level
$95.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.57
Wall Street Target
$106.97
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 28.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.20
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$86.41
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$85.64
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
$87.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$141.46
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.1%)
$106.35
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$90.40
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$120.31
(+37%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 37.7
Base Case
$109.37
(+24%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 34.3
Bear Case
$61.53
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 28.3
Stabilization Target:
$90.31
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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