ICFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$89.01
-0.06 (-0.07%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
+15.46%
90d:
+30.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICFI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICFI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.51
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $89.01, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.01 to $89.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+20.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICFI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.25 (+20.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$79.01 -
$89.48
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($107.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.01 -
$89.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.43
Resistance Level
$94.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.54
Wall Street Target
$107.25
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.13
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$95.35
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$98.69
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$197.48
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$113.60
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$96.56
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$157.70
(+77%)
Analyst growth 61.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$143.37
(+61%)
Market implied 61.0%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$60.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Randall Mehl
BUY
1100 shares
2026-03-06
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