IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$81.84
-0.63 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-3.84%
30d:
+3.95%
90d:
+21.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IOSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IOSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.78
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $81.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.45 to $84.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.45 -
$84.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($99.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.45 -
$84.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.07
Resistance Level
$83.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.39
Wall Street Target
$99.33
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$82.99
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$83.57
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.5%)
$269.39
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 26.5%)
$165.67
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 26.5%)
$140.82
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$121.40
(+47%)
Analyst growth 33.4%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$110.37
(+34%)
Market implied 33.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$56.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David B Jones
SELL
1028 shares
2026-03-03
Claudia Poccia
SELL
119 shares
2026-02-27
David Landless
SELL
594 shares
2026-02-27
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