Innospec (IOSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$93.23
0.15 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
+0.12%
30d:
+0.12%
90d:
+8.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IOSP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: IOSP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.33
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.55
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $93.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.78 to $94.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$91.78 -
$94.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.78 -
$94.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.00
Resistance Level
$96.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.16
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.87
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$100.64
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$104.57
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.6%)
$239.83
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 24.6%)
$180.25
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$153.21
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.88
Bull Case
$129.03
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$117.30
(+26%)
Market implied 26.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$63.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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