Innospec (IOSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$98.67
-0.97 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+2.14%
90d:
+16.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.90
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $98.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.11 to $98.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$94.11 -
$98.47
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.11 -
$98.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.00
Resistance Level
$100.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.00
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 13.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.70
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$108.99
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$114.55
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$98.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.3%)
$241.15
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 25.3%)
$194.29
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 25.3%)
$165.15
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.92
Bull Case
$137.38
(+39%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$124.89
(+27%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$67.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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