IOSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$93.63
0.71 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
-0.23%
30d:
+11.34%
90d:
+18.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.14
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.82
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $93.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.70 to $92.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$84.70 -
$92.97
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.70 -
$92.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.80
Resistance Level
$95.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.22
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$102.05
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$106.54
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.6%)
$238.64
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 24.6%)
$181.02
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$153.87
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$128.29
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$116.62
(+25%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$63.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David B Jones
SELL
1028 shares
2026-03-03
Claudia Poccia
SELL
119 shares
2026-02-27
David Landless
SELL
594 shares
2026-02-27
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