Innospec (IOSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOSP - Innospec Inc.
$97.41
2.24 (2.35%)
▲
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
+3.89%
90d:
+18.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IOSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.52
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.29
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $97.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.76 to $96.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.30, while resistance sits at $100.48.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.30, while resistance sits at $100.48.
Market Sentiment: IOSP scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$92.76 -
$96.37
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.76 -
$96.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.30
Resistance Level
$100.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.84
Wall Street Target
$101.00
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 13.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.38
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$107.60
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$113.09
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$242.56
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 24.6%)
$188.33
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 24.6%)
$160.08
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.89
Bull Case
$131.66
(+35%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$119.69
(+23%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$64.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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