IOSP
Innospec Inc.
CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
Innospec (IOSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$78.29
+0.57 (+0.73%)
▲
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
-19.64%
90d:
-16.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$86.17 – $102.31
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.1x
FAIR
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$99.33
+26.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.52 / $102.00
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: IOSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.36
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.15
10.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOSP is currently trading at $78.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.17 to $102.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 148.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOSP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.33 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.17 -
$102.31
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$86.17 -
$102.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$77.52
Resistance Level
$102.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($99.33)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.11
Wall Street Target
$99.33
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
148.3%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.50
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$74.14
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$78.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.4%)
$196.67
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 18.4%)
$129.86
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 18.4%)
$110.38
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.48
Bull Case
$93.14
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$84.67
(+8%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$52.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$82.98
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (IOSP)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user mentioned $IOSP among companies with recent dividend increases, signaling optimism towards the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend Increases
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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