JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$315.05
6.53 (2.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-16.06%
90d:
-6.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 24, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$671.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$417.13
24.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $315.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.63 to $362.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $285.80, while resistance sits at $328.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $285.80, while resistance sits at $328.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$306.63 -
$362.52
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($441.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$306.63 -
$362.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$285.80
Resistance Level
$328.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.81
Wall Street Target
$441.44
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$305.60
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$296.43
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$287.54
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$314.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 31.2%)
$784.46
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 31.2%)
$711.91
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 31.2%)
$605.12
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.58
Bull Case
$662.39
(+110%)
Analyst growth 95.2%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$602.17
(+91%)
Market implied 95.2%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$209.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$344.98
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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