JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$341.30
-34.04 (-9.07%)
▼
5d:
-8.9%
30d:
-8.54%
90d:
+25.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 17, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JBL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JBL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$678.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$421.18
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $341.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $361.99 to $380.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $338.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $338.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$361.99 -
$380.02
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($441.44)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$361.99 -
$380.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$338.73
Resistance Level
$390.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.38
Wall Street Target
$441.44
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$338.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$336.54
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$334.18
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$341.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.2%)
$824.19
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 31.2%)
$771.22
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 31.2%)
$655.54
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.99
Bull Case
$825.75
(+142%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.7
Base Case
$750.68
(+120%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.0
Bear Case
$255.23
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$348.33
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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Advanced JBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
