Jabil (JBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$278.25
-8.89 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-9.15%
30d:
-5.98%
90d:
-9.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$581.14
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$360.84
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $278.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.86 to $313.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $276.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $276.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$295.86 -
$313.83
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($425.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$295.86 -
$313.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$276.58
Resistance Level
$319.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.05
Wall Street Target
$425.00
(+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 20.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$250.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$225.38
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$202.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$288.82
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$552.29
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$390.61
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$332.02
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.75
Bull Case
$631.71
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$574.28
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$195.26
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$396.19
(+42.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 17, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
