JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$372.99
-4.25 (-1.13%)
▼
5d:
-3.28%
30d:
+4.65%
90d:
+40.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 17, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$675.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$419.16
11.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $372.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $351.05 to $379.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $341.47, while resistance sits at $428.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $341.47, while resistance sits at $428.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$351.05 -
$379.34
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($441.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$351.05 -
$379.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$341.47
Resistance Level
$428.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.27
Wall Street Target
$441.44
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$382.31
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$391.87
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$401.67
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$373.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.2%)
$842.83
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.2%)
$824.19
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 31.2%)
$700.56
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $15.78
Bull Case
$450.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$372.99
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$285.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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