Jabil (JBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$316.74
6.05 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+5.73%
30d:
+1.88%
90d:
-11.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 30, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$666.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$414.14
23.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $316.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.98 to $324.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $293.60, while resistance sits at $331.58.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $430.11 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $293.60, while resistance sits at $331.58.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $430.11 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$295.98 -
$324.75
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($430.11)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$295.98 -
$324.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$293.60
Resistance Level
$331.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.77
Wall Street Target
$430.11
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$308.50
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$300.48
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$292.67
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$316.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 32.2%)
$793.20
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 32.2%)
$731.37
(+131%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 32.2%)
$621.67
(+96%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.05
Bull Case
$683.52
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$621.38
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$211.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$342.50
(+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 27, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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