Jabil (JBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$239.09
2.73 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
-12.33%
30d:
-20.08%
90d:
-28.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JBL is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JBL is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$569.52
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$353.62
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $239.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $265.79 to $307.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 88.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+77.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+77.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$265.79 -
$307.35
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.8% below Wall St target ($425.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$265.79 -
$307.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$235.23
Resistance Level
$292.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.07
Wall Street Target
$425.00
(+77.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$193.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$174.30
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→20)
$283.05
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$552.29
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$335.64
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 12.0%)
$285.29
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.75
Bull Case
$519.99
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$472.72
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$160.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$388.27
(+62.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+62.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 07, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
