Jabil (JBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$310.57
4.65 (1.52%)
▲
5d:
+3.03%
30d:
-9.89%
90d:
-12.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 24, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$672.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$417.33
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $310.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $300.89 to $347.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $315.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 87/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $315.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JBL scores 87/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $441.44 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$300.89 -
$347.95
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (87/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($441.44)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 87/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$300.89 -
$347.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$292.29
Resistance Level
$315.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.45
Wall Street Target
$441.44
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 20.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$300.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$289.81
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$279.96
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$311.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 31.9%)
$781.43
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 31.9%)
$712.54
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 31.9%)
$605.66
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.17
Bull Case
$673.02
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$611.84
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$208.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$345.14
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 06, 2026 10:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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