JPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$351.58
0.03 (0.01%)
â˛
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
+0.48%
90d:
+16.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $357.52 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JPM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JPM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$406.86
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JPM is currently trading at $351.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $344.96 to $360.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JPM scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JPM scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$344.96 -
$360.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JPM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($374.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$344.96 -
$360.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$350.37
Resistance Level
$366.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.06
Wall Street Target
$374.57
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
34.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$355.80
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$360.07
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$364.39
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$352.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.3%)
$552.96
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 3.3%)
$387.36
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 3.3%)
$329.25
(-6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.96
Bull Case
$421.18
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$382.89
(+9%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$239.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 12:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Barnum
SELL
5611 shares
2026-04-15
Jennifer Piepszak
SELL
9136 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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Advanced JPM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JPM price and gamma walls.
