JPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$325.22
-8.24 (-2.47%)
▼
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
+9.98%
90d:
+12.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JPM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: JPM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.22
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JPM is currently trading at $325.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $297.28 to $317.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JPM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JPM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$297.28 -
$317.77
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JPM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($342.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$297.28 -
$317.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$295.20
Resistance Level
$316.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.80
Wall Street Target
$342.00
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$328.47
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$331.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$335.07
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$325.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$602.68
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$381.88
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$324.60
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.89
Bull Case
$413.79
(+27%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$376.17
(+16%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$226.75
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 22, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Barnum
SELL
5611 shares
2026-04-15
Jennifer Piepszak
SELL
9136 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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