KAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KAI - Kadant Inc.
$313.41
-0.65 (-0.21%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.23%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
+2.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KAI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KAI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$498.89
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$309.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAI is currently trading at $313.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.83 to $331.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $305.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.67 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $305.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.67 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$306.83 -
$331.55
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($361.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$306.83 -
$331.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$305.00
Resistance Level
$344.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.19
Wall Street Target
$361.67
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$302.44
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$291.86
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$281.64
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â26)
$313.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 12.3%)
$443.31
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$383.60
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$326.06
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.31
Bull Case
$501.41
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.1%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$455.83
(+45%)
Market implied 45.1%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$213.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$348.62
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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