KIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KIM - Kimco Realty Corp.
$25.48
-0.03 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
+1.59%
90d:
+7.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.22
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KIM is currently trading at $25.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.07 to $26.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.07 -
$26.02
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.07 -
$26.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.30
Resistance Level
$26.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.42
Wall Street Target
$26.82
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.12
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$26.77
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$27.44
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$31.14
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$21.94
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$18.65
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$28.59
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.9%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$25.99
(+2%)
Market implied 1.9%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$17.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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