LOGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOGI - Logitech International SA

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC
$102.48
0.91 (0.90%) ▲
5d: -3.12%
30d: +8.28%
90d: +3.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.44
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOGI is currently trading at $102.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.39 to $105.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 66.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $97.39 - $105.31
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.20)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $97.39 - $105.31
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $99.95
Resistance Level $111.92
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.79
Wall Street Target $109.20 (+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 66.3%
Profit Margin 16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.8 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $102.07 (0%)
2-Year Target $101.66 (-1%)
3-Year Target $101.26 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) $102.45 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.4%) $124.53 (+22%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 1.4%) $106.87 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 1.4%) $90.84 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case $136.07 (+33%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case $123.70 (+21%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case $69.07 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 18.0
Stabilization Target: $103.69 (+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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