STX
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)
COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
STX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$528.29
-16.85 (-3.09%)
▼
5d:
+14.6%
30d:
-23.53%
90d:
-46.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$547.13 – $758.21
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.6x
CHEAP
vs 26.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1044.83
+97.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$449.28 / $646.29
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.4% annual earnings decline despite 212% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
STX is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; STX has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-13.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 13, 2026 at $526.90 · last confirmed Nov 13, 2026
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1386.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$860.91
38.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STX is currently trading at $528.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $547.13 to $758.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 212.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $449.28, while resistance sits at $646.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: STX scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1044.83 (+97.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $449.28, while resistance sits at $646.29. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: STX scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1044.83 (+97.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$547.13 -
$758.21
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$547.13 -
$758.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$449.28
Resistance Level
$646.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.8% below Wall St target ($1044.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.55
Wall Street Target
$1044.83
(+97.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
212.3%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 26.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$475.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$427.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$385.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→27)
$552.26
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 91.3%)
$1908.92
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 91.3%)
$1782.98
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 91.3%)
$1515.53
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.07
Bull Case
$895.54
(+70%)
Analyst growth 49.3%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$814.13
(+54%)
Market implied 49.3%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case
$370.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 26.6
Stabilization Target:
$757.56
(+43.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (STX)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article discusses the impact of political uncertainty and inflation on the AI industry, specifically mentioning Seagate (STX) as one of the stocks affected. Wall Street's AI trade experienced a rough week following the midterm elections and rising inflation concerns.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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