What is the fair value of ANET stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ANET to be between $157.77 and $175.58. The current price is $186.96.

What is the analyst price target for ANET?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ANET is $190.09. This implies a potential upside of 1.7% from current levels.

ANET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ANET - Arista Networks

COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

$186.96

2.27 (1.23%) ▲

5d: +16.86%

30d: +22.87%

90d: +28.01%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 21d

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Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ANET trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 22.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$207.03

Based on 13.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$128.55

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ANET is currently trading at $186.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.77 to $175.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.0) compared to its historical average (36.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ANET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ANET has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $157.77 - $175.58

Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.4%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($190.09)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $157.77 - $175.58

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $154.74

Resistance Level $189.82

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.97

Wall Street Target $190.09 (+1.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.0%

Profit Margin 38.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +5.2% premium

PE vs Historical 42.0 vs 36.1 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $196.68 (+5%)

2-Year Target $206.91 (+11%)

3-Year Target $217.67 (+16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 42→36) PE COMPRESSION $187.21 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 42.0, Growth: 22.8%) $346.24 (+85%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.8%) $179.66 (-4%)

Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.8%) $152.71 (-18%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (62x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 62.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97

Bull Case $304.69 (+63%)

Analyst growth 50.0%, PE expands to 68.4

Base Case $276.99 (+48%)

Market implied 50.0%, PE stable at 62.2

Bear Case $125.59 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 52.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jayshree Ullal SELL 428000 shares 2026-04-22

Jayshree Ullal SELL 93861 shares 2026-04-21

Jayshree Ullal SELL 306139 shares 2026-04-20

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