DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$434.97
-15.25 (-3.39%)
▼
5d:
+10.31%
30d:
+13.93%
90d:
+139.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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18 traders called DELL this week
84% bullish • 3 bearish
84% bullish • 3 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 26.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 26.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$336.20
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$208.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $434.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $394.74 to $435.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.1) compared to its historical average (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 26.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $378.66, while resistance sits at $460.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $487.26 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $378.66, while resistance sits at $460.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $487.26 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$394.74 -
$435.37
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DELL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($487.26)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 26.9% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$394.74 -
$435.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$378.66
Resistance Level
$460.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.10
Wall Street Target
$487.26
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+26.9% premium
PE vs Historical
38.1 vs 18.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+26.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$551.98
(+27%)
2-Year Target
$700.46
(+61%)
3-Year Target
$888.88
(+104%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$433.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$668.00
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$381.86
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$324.58
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.10
Bull Case
$431.59
(-1%)
Analyst growth -12.9%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$392.35
(-10%)
Market implied -12.9%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$306.15
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 11, 2026 2:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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