DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$442.08
7.30 (1.68%)
â˛
5d:
-9.93%
30d:
+0.62%
90d:
+74.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
10d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $480.15 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DELL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 20.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DELL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 20.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$395.85
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$245.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $442.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $403.37 to $468.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.7) compared to its historical average (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $427.54, while resistance sits at $514.00.
Market Sentiment: DELL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $508.78 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $427.54, while resistance sits at $514.00.
Market Sentiment: DELL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $508.78 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$403.37 -
$468.00
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($508.78)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 20.9% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$403.37 -
$468.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$427.54
Resistance Level
$514.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.72
Wall Street Target
$508.78
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.9% premium
PE vs Historical
38.7 vs 21.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$534.47
(+21%)
2-Year Target
$646.18
(+46%)
3-Year Target
$781.23
(+77%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$441.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$678.92
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$351.87
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$299.09
(-32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.57
Bull Case
$434.36
(-2%)
Analyst growth -9.2%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$394.87
(-11%)
Market implied -9.2%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$295.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced DELL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
