DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$405.37
0.56 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-7.34%
30d:
-4.67%
90d:
+94.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 20.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 20.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$366.93
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$227.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $405.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $396.32 to $437.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.5) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $358.88, while resistance sits at $454.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $502.78 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $358.88, while resistance sits at $454.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $502.78 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$396.32 -
$437.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DELL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($502.78)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 20.6% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$396.32 -
$437.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$358.88
Resistance Level
$454.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.51
Wall Street Target
$502.78
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.6% premium
PE vs Historical
35.5 vs 20.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$488.88
(+21%)
2-Year Target
$589.58
(+45%)
3-Year Target
$711.04
(+75%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$406.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$622.54
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$363.45
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 15.4%)
$308.93
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.55
Bull Case
$405.07
(0%)
Analyst growth -9.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$368.24
(-9%)
Market implied -9.0%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$275.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
