Is DELL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DELL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DELL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of DELL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DELL to be between $400.21 and $459.31. The current price is $494.51.

What is the analyst price target for DELL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DELL is $500.74. This implies a potential upside of 1.3% from current levels.

DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.

ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS

$494.51

10.01 (2.07%) ▲

5d: +12.99%

30d: +19.83%

90d: +102.78%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your DELL Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 27, 2026 12d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $453.77 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DELL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$383.20

Based on 9.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$237.94

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $494.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $400.21 to $459.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.3) compared to its historical average (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 26.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $390.11, while resistance sits at $514.00.

Market Sentiment: DELL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $400.21 - $459.31

Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 19.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($500.74)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 26.8% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $400.21 - $459.31

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $390.11

Resistance Level $514.00

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.32

Wall Street Target $500.74 (+1.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 87.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 282.5%

Profit Margin 6.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +26.8% premium

PE vs Historical 43.3 vs 21.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +26.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $627.04 (+27%)

2-Year Target $795.09 (+61%)

3-Year Target $1008.17 (+104%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→21) PE COMPRESSION $493.42 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 43.3, Growth: 15.4%) $759.44 (+54%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%) $354.68 (-28%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 15.4%) $301.48 (-39%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 35.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.81

Bull Case $440.57 (-11%)

Analyst growth -17.3%, PE expands to 38.6

Base Case $400.52 (-19%)

Market implied -17.3%, PE stable at 35.1

Bear Case $329.46 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is DELL showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta SELL 382000 shares 2026-04-16

Jeffrey W Clarke SELL 116000 shares 2026-04-15

V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta SELL 458666 shares 2026-04-15

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Advanced DELL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.

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