DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$422.88
4.17 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.38%
30d:
+67.28%
90d:
+156.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 29.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 29.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$305.48
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$189.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $422.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $281.72 to $429.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.7) compared to its historical average (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 29.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $357.07, while resistance sits at $444.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $483.83 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $357.07, while resistance sits at $444.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $483.83 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$281.72 -
$429.15
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($483.83)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 29.5% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$281.72 -
$429.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$357.07
Resistance Level
$444.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.68
Wall Street Target
$483.83
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+29.5% premium
PE vs Historical
36.7 vs 16.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+29.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$542.23
(+30%)
2-Year Target
$702.19
(+68%)
3-Year Target
$909.33
(+117%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$419.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$643.03
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$381.86
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.4%)
$296.30
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.53
Bull Case
$427.85
(+2%)
Analyst growth -8.9%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$388.96
(-7%)
Market implied -8.9%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$290.29
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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