WDC
Western Digital Corp.
COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
Western Digital (WDC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$295.65
-15.56 (-5.00%)
▼
5d:
+12.08%
30d:
-17.06%
90d:
-44.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$309.81 – $396.66
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.1x
CHEAP
vs 25.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$613.38
+107.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$258.61 / $367.85
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
WDC is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; WDC has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-13.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$894.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$555.16
46.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDC is currently trading at $295.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $309.81 to $396.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $258.61, while resistance sits at $367.85. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $613.38 (+107.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $258.61, while resistance sits at $367.85. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $613.38 (+107.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$309.81 -
$396.66
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$309.81 -
$396.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$258.61
Resistance Level
$367.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 107.5% below Wall St target ($613.38)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.10
Wall Street Target
$613.38
(+107.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
69.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 25.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$266.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$239.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$215.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→25)
$337.39
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 84.8%)
$1230.98
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 84.8%)
$997.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 84.8%)
$848.15
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.43
Bull Case
$221.14
(-25%)
Analyst growth -35.4%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$201.04
(-32%)
Market implied -35.4%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$211.62
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$462.81
(+56.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WDC)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages show bullish sentiment towards $WDC with traders adding shares and expressing optimism about the stock's potential. The latest Yahoo Finance news discusses the challenges facing AI stocks due to political uncertainty and inflation, but specifically mentions Western Digital as a stock with growth potential. The article also suggests that the Fed's stance on inflation could lead to further sell-offs.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment towards $WDC
Political uncertainty and inflation affecting AI stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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