LSPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.

Services-Prepackaged Software
$10.61
0.22 (2.12%) ▲
5d: -0.56%
30d: +10.87%
90d: +26.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LSPD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
13.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $10.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.02 to $10.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.18, while resistance sits at $10.98.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $10.02 - $10.66
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.77)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.02 - $10.66
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.18
Resistance Level $10.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.00
Wall Street Target $10.77 (+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.8%
Profit Margin -7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 16.0 vs 15.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.77 (+2%)
2-Year Target $10.93 (+3%)
3-Year Target $11.09 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $10.61 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 38.3%) $35.22 (+232%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 38.3%) $28.08 (+165%)
Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: 38.3%) $23.87 (+125%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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