LSPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.

Services-Prepackaged Software
$9.63
-0.09 (-0.93%) ▼
5d: +4.22%
30d: +8.45%
90d: +8.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
21.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $9.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.85 to $9.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.69, while resistance sits at $9.97.

Market Sentiment: LSPD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.73 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $8.85 - $9.67
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.73)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.85 - $9.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.69
Resistance Level $9.97
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.52
Wall Street Target $10.73 (+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.7%
Profit Margin -11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 15.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.46 (-2%)
2-Year Target $9.29 (-4%)
3-Year Target $9.12 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) $9.61 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 38.3%) $38.46 (+299%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 38.3%) $25.48 (+165%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 38.3%) $21.66 (+125%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.3
Stabilization Target: $10.15 (+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 9:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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