LTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTC - LTC Properties, Inc.
$39.67
0.81 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
+2.32%
30d:
+6.24%
90d:
-0.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.10
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTC is currently trading at $39.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.54 to $38.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (21.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $38.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $38.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.54 -
$38.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with -19.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.54 -
$38.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.53
Resistance Level
$38.90
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.12
Wall Street Target
$41.43
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.4%
Profit Margin
40.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.18
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$42.74
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$44.37
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: -4.4%)
$34.70
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.4%)
$31.34
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -4.4%)
$26.64
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$27.58
(-31%)
Analyst growth -35.5%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$25.07
(-37%)
Market implied -35.5%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$26.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David L Gruber
BUY
7000 shares
2026-03-05
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