LTC Properties (LTC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTC - LTC Properties, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$42.27
-0.23 (-0.54%) ▼
5d: +0.88%
30d: +9.25%
90d: +14.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LTC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.49
Based on -38.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTC is currently trading at $42.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.25 to $41.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $39.25 - $41.64
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with -19.0% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.25 - $41.64
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.17
Resistance Level $43.16
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.84
Wall Street Target $45.00 (+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -54.4%
Profit Margin 39.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium
PE vs Historical 26.8 vs 22.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.89 (+6%)
2-Year Target $47.67 (+13%)
3-Year Target $50.63 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→22) PE COMPRESSION $42.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.8, Growth: -80.5%) $30.81 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -80.5%) $23.16 (-45%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -80.5%) $19.68 (-53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case $26.30 (-38%)
Analyst growth -43.8%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case $23.91 (-43%)
Market implied -43.8%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case $28.90 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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