LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$18.31
-0.35 (-1.88%)
▼
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
+12.82%
90d:
+48.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.94
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.21
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $18.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.34 to $18.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.34 -
$18.35
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with -13.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.34 -
$18.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.34
Resistance Level
$18.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 11.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.63
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$20.65
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$21.72
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$59.72
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 24.7%)
$36.16
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 24.7%)
$30.73
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$41.69
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.6
Base Case
$37.90
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.1
Bear Case
$12.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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