LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A
$62.08
1.64 (2.71%)
▲
5d:
+2.92%
30d:
+18.07%
90d:
-16.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LYB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LYB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.42
Based on -9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $62.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.65 to $60.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.84, while resistance sits at $64.98.
Market Sentiment: LYB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.84, while resistance sits at $64.98.
Market Sentiment: LYB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.65 -
$60.46
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LYB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.65 -
$60.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.84
Resistance Level
$64.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.59
Wall Street Target
$66.71
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.74
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$51.86
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$47.40
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$62.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -23.5%)
$97.82
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -23.5%)
$45.26
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -23.5%)
$38.47
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$81.55
(+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
842 shares
2026-03-09
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
384548 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced LYB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYB price and gamma walls.
